مدلسازی و ارزیابی قابلیت اطمینان راکتور کنترلشونده مغناطیسی مبتنی بر روش زنجیره مارکوف
محورهای موضوعی : مهندسی برق و کامپیوترمرتضی حقشناس 1 , رحمتالله هوشمند 2 *
1 - دانشگاه اصفهان
2 - دانشگاه اصفهان
کلید واژه: راکتور کنترلشونده مغناطیسی (MCR)قابلیت اطمیناندسترسپذیری منابع توان راکتیوروش زنجیره مارکوف,
چکیده مقاله :
راکتورهای کنترلشونده نوعی از سیستمهای انتقال انعطافپذیر هستند که نقش مهمی در دسترسپذیری و قابلیت اطمینان سیستمهای قدرت دارند. این در حالی است که در ارزیابی متعارف قابلیت اطمینان سیستمهای قدرت، توان راکتیو تنها به عنوان یک محدودیت برای شبکه در نظر گرفته شده و تا کنون مدل دقیقی برای ارزیابی قابلیت اطمینان راکتورها ارائه نشده است. در این مقاله یک مدل قابلیت اطمینان جدید توسط روش زنجیره مارکوف برای راکتور کنترلشونده مغناطیسی (MCR) پیشنهاد شده است. در فرایند مدلسازی این جبرانکننده، ابتدا ساختار راکتور به دو بخش مجزا تقسیم شده و سپس مدلهای مارکوف استخراجشده برای آنها بر اساس اصول روش فراوانی و تداوم حالتها ترکیب شده است. از آنجا که تغییرات دمای محیط نقش قابل ملاحظهای در تغییر نرخ خرابی تجهیزات الکتریکی دارد، اثر تغییرات دما مطابق با استاندارد MIL-217F در مدل پیشنهادی لحاظ شده و تأثیر آن بر احتمال حالتهای کاری MCR مورد ارزیابی قرار گرفته است. نتایج شبیهسازی و تحلیل حساسیت نشان داده که در شرایط عادی، سیستم کنترل و در دماهای زیاد، سیمپیچهای راکتور میتوانند بیشترین تأثیر را بر دسترسپذیری MCR داشته باشند. مقایسه شاخصهای قابلیت اطمینان در دماهای مختلف نشان داده که در شرایط تغییر دما، اجزای متفاوتی دسترسپذیری MCR را تحت تأثیر قرار خواهد داد، لذا در چنین شرایطی اقدامات لازم برای بهبود قابلیت اطمینان راکتور میتواند متفاوت باشد. این واقعیت اهمیت در نظر گرفتن دمای محیط در ارزیابی قابلیت اطمینان و همچنین برنامهریزی برای تعمیرات پیشگیرانه جهت بهبود عملکرد منابع توان راکتیو را نشان میدهد.
Controlled reactors as one of the flexible AC transmission systems play an important role in the availability and reliability of power systems.However, in the conventional reliability assessment of power systems, reactive power is considered only as a constraint for the network, and so far no precise model for assessing the reliability of reactors has been provided. In this paper, a new reliability model based on Markov process is proposed for a magnetically controlled reactor (MCR). In the modeling process, first the MCR structure is divided into two distinct parts, and then the extracted Markov models are combined based on frequency/duration technique.Since temperature changes play a significant role in changing the failure rate of electrical equipment, the effect of temperature changes in accordance with the MIL-217F standard has been considered in the proposed model and its impact on the probability of MCR operating modes has been evaluated. The simulation results have shown that in normal temperature conditions, the control system and at high temperatures, reactor windings can have the greatest impact on the availability of MCR. Comparison of reliability indices at different temperatures has shown that under different temperature conditions, different components will affect the availability of MCR. Therefore, in this condition, the measures needed to improve the reliability of the reactor can be different. This fact highlights the importance of considering the effect of operating temperature on reliability assessment as well as planning for preventive maintenance to improve the performance of reactive power sources.
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